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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (S)
MH
Malik Hooker
S · Ohio St.
21.1 yo · 6'1" · 206 lb
JA
Jamal Adams
S · LSU
21.5 yo · 6'0" · 214 lb
BB
Budda Baker
S · Washington
21.3 yo · 5'10" · 195 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Malik Hooker
Predicted pick
#4
range #2–#28
Bust probability· rough estimate
2%
Consensus rank
#5
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$15Mmodel
Jamal Adams
Predicted pick
#7
range #5–#31
Bust probability· rough estimate
0%
Consensus rank
#2
on 27 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$20Mmodel
Budda Baker
Predicted pick
#25
range #7–#68
Bust probability· rough estimate
4%
Consensus rank
#34
on 24 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$18Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Malik Hooker· CB / S
  • Jamal Adams· CB / S
  • Budda Baker· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionMalik Hooker0
  • AthleticismMalik Hooker36
  • AgeBudda Baker79
  • ConsensusMalik Hooker97
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Malik Hooker50
  • Breakout ageMalik Hooker50
  • WorkloadMalik Hooker100
  • RAS × productionMalik Hooker53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Malik Hooker
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jamal Adams
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Budda Baker
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Malik Hooker
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jamal Adams
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Budda Baker
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Malik HookerJamal AdamsBudda Baker· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Malik Hooker

+0.12 scout consensus; +0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50

Jamal Adams

+0.11 scout consensus; +0.08 boards with him top-100; +0.04 boards with him top-50

Budda Baker

+0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 boards with him top-50; +0.02 charting: intermediate-route grade, final season