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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
JI
Joey Ivie
DT · Florida
22.3 yo · — · —
DJ
D.J. Jones
DT · Mississippi
22.3 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
High confidence
Take D.J. Jones over Joey Ivie.

Decisive factor: 133-pick gap on Draftanomics projection. Reinforced by $8M/yr more in projected second-deal AAV.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Joey Ivie
Predicted pick
#210
range #127–#261
Bust probability
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
D.J. Jones
Predicted pick
#77
range #77–#234
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$13Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Joey Ivie· EDGE / DL / LB
  • D.J. Jones· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJoey Ivie0
  • AthleticismJoey Ivie36
  • AgeD.J. Jones97
  • ConsensusD.J. Jones9
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Joey Ivie50
  • Breakout ageJoey Ivie50
  • WorkloadJoey Ivie100
  • RAS × productionJoey Ivie31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Joey Ivie
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
D.J. Jones
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Joey Ivie
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
D.J. Jones
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Joey IvieD.J. Jones· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Joey Ivie

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting gap run block grade

D.J. Jones

−0.04 HS recruit rating; +0.03 age; −0.03 boards with him top-100