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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT)
EQ
Elijah Qualls
DT · Washington
22.2 yo · 6'1" · 313 lb
DT
Dalvin Tomlinson
DT · Alabama
23.1 yo · 6'3" · 310 lb
CB
Caleb Brantley
DT · Florida
22.6 yo · 6'3" · 307 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Elijah Qualls
Predicted pick
#194
range #53–#237
Bust probability
36%
Consensus rank
#84
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Dalvin Tomlinson
Predicted pick
#104
range #57–#222
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
#81
on 20 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$15Mmodel
Caleb Brantley
Predicted pick
#79
range #23–#200
Bust probability
24%
Consensus rank
#52
on 21 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Elijah Qualls· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Dalvin Tomlinson· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Caleb Brantley· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionElijah Qualls0
  • AthleticismElijah Qualls36
  • AgeElijah Qualls82
  • ConsensusCaleb Brantley34
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Elijah Qualls50
  • Breakout ageElijah Qualls50
  • WorkloadElijah Qualls100
  • RAS × productionElijah Qualls31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Elijah Qualls
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Dalvin Tomlinson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Caleb Brantley
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Elijah Qualls
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Dalvin Tomlinson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Caleb Brantley
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Elijah QuallsDalvin TomlinsonCaleb Brantley· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Elijah Qualls

−0.05 HS recruit rating; −0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.02 charting catch rate allowed avg

Dalvin Tomlinson

+0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting run def grade career avg; −0.03 HS recruit rating

Caleb Brantley

+0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.05 charting: average depth of target allowed, career avg; +0.04 boards with him top-50