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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (LB)
AW
Anthony Walker
LB · Northwestern
21.7 yo · — · —
RM
Raekwon McMillan
LB · Ohio St.
21.4 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
Medium confidence
Take Anthony Walker over Raekwon McMillan.

Decisive factor: a bust risk 65 points lower.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Anthony Walker
Predicted pick
#65
range #18–#112
Bust probability
0%
0%0/3 comps
Consensus rank
#125
on 4 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Raekwon McMillan
Predicted pick
#39
range #1–#83
Bust probability
65%
0%0/5 comps
Consensus rank
#66
on 20 boards
Career arc
Franchise
tier · Day 2
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Anthony Walker· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Raekwon McMillan· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionAnthony Walker0
  • AthleticismAnthony Walker36
  • AgeRaekwon McMillan86
  • ConsensusAnthony Walker22
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Anthony Walker50
  • Breakout ageAnthony Walker50
  • WorkloadAnthony Walker100
  • RAS × productionAnthony Walker31

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Anthony Walker
  • Max Valles
    OLB · #179
    TBD
  • David Mayo
    LB · #169
    Contributor
  • Bud Dupree
    OLB · #22
    Franchise
  • Brian Mihalik
    EDGE · #237
    Bust
  • Shaquille Riddick
    EDGE · #158
    TBD
Raekwon McMillan
  • Arik Armstead
    DT · #17
    Franchise
  • Leonard Williams
    EDGE · #6
    Franchise
  • Dante Fowler
    OLB · #3
    Starter
  • Deiontrez Mount
    OLB · #177
    Contributor
  • Lorenzo Mauldin
    OLB · #82
    Starter

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Anthony Walker
Risks
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
  • Comp group has bust risk
    1 of 2 closest comps with NFL outcomes ended up backups or busts: Brian Mihalik. Mixed signal from history.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Raekwon McMillan
Risks
  • Missed entire rookie season
    Drafted #54 by MIA in 2017 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have.
  • No athletic testing
    No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured.
Opportunities
  • Strong comp group
    4 of 4 closest comps with NFL outcomes became Starters or Franchise players: Arik Armstead, Leonard Williams, Dante Fowler (+1 more). The historical neighborhood overwhelmingly produced NFL contributors.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Anthony WalkerRaekwon McMillan· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Anthony Walker

Draftanomics projects Anthony Walker (age 21.7 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #65 (range #18-#112, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The comp set is mixed: 1 starters-or-better vs 1 backups-or-busts among the 2 comps with known outcomes. Closest comps: Max Valles, David Mayo (Contributor), Bud Dupree (Franchise). Ceiling is Bud Dupree (Franchise); floor is Max Valles. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a value lean: #65 against a consensus #93 is a 28-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with comp group has bust risk the tax on that edge.

Raekwon McMillan

Draftanomics projects Raekwon McMillan (age 21.4 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #39 (range #1-#83, very wide band — too little on him yet to project tightly). Bust probability sits at 65% — scary. The comp set is strong: 4 of 4 closest comps with known NFL outcomes became starters or better. Closest comps: Arik Armstead (Franchise), Leonard Williams (Franchise), Dante Fowler (Starter). Ceiling is Leonard Williams (Franchise); floor is Deiontrez Mount (Contributor). Drafted #54 by MIA in 2017 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a value lean: #39 against a consensus #63 is a 24-spot edge — enough to move him up the queue, not enough to reach a round early, with missed entire rookie season the tax on that edge.