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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2017 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2017 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
AC
Adrian Colbert
CB · Miami (FL)
23.6 yo · — · —
BA
Brian Allen
CB · Utah
23.5 yo · 6'3" · 215 lb
BL
Brendan Langley
CB · Lamar
22.5 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Adrian Colbert
Predicted pick
#249
range #112–#264
Bust probability· rough estimate
30%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Brian Allen
Predicted pick
#220
range #137–#271
Bust probability· rough estimate
38%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$3Mmodel
Brendan Langley
Predicted pick
#213
range #72–#256
Bust probability· rough estimate
45%
Consensus rank
#159
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Adrian Colbert· CB / S
  • Brian Allen· CB / S
  • Brendan Langley· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionAdrian Colbert0
  • AthleticismAdrian Colbert36
  • AgeBrendan Langley65
  • ConsensusBrendan Langley9
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Adrian Colbert50
  • Breakout ageAdrian Colbert50
  • WorkloadAdrian Colbert100
  • RAS × productionAdrian Colbert53

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Adrian Colbert
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Brian Allen
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Brendan Langley
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Adrian Colbert
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Brian Allen
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Brendan Langley
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Adrian ColbertBrian AllenBrendan Langley· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Adrian Colbert

−0.04 age; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg

Brian Allen

−0.03 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 charting total career snaps

Brendan Langley

−0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.03 production trajectory; −0.03 HS recruit rating