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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
WI
William Jackson III
CB · Houston
23.3 yo · 6'0" · 189 lb
KF
Kendall Fuller
CB · Virginia Tech
21.2 yo · 5'11" · 187 lb
PI
Prince Charles Iworah
CB · Western Kentucky
23.1 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

William Jackson III
Predicted pick
#68
range #12–#189
Bust probability· rough estimate
14%
Consensus rank
#31
on 20 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$11Mmodel
Kendall Fuller
Predicted pick
#106
range #26–#214
Bust probability· rough estimate
10%
Consensus rank
#56
on 16 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Prince Charles Iworah
Predicted pick
#217
range #134–#268
Bust probability· rough estimate
34%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • William Jackson III· CB / S
  • Kendall Fuller· CB / S
  • Prince Charles Iworah· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionWilliam Jackson III50
  • AthleticismWilliam Jackson III50
  • AgeKendall Fuller71
  • ConsensusWilliam Jackson III24
  • Per-play impact (PPA)William Jackson III50
  • Breakout ageWilliam Jackson III50
  • WorkloadWilliam Jackson III50
  • RAS × productionWilliam Jackson III50

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
William Jackson III
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kendall Fuller
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Prince Charles Iworah
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

William Jackson III
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kendall Fuller
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Prince Charles Iworah
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
William Jackson IIIKendall FullerPrince Charles Iworah· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

William Jackson III

+0.07 boards with him top-100; +0.04 charting coverage grade career avg; −0.04 age

Kendall Fuller

+0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; +0.03 charting: pass-rush productivity (true pass sets), career avg

Prince Charles Iworah

+0.06 charting coverage grade career avg; −0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 charting total career snaps