Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
Kendall Fuller
age 21.2 · 5'11" · 187 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 10% and the realistic range is No. 26 to No. 214.
rank#106$1.2M
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Kendall Fuller at pick #106; he was actually picked #84 by WAS. 2 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 6.6 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $12M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#106CB·Virginia Tech
The league moved faster than our board — WAS took him at No. 84, 22 picks ahead of our No. 106 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Kendall Fuller at #106 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and WAS took him at No. 84, 22 picks earlier than our grade. The model's case leans on broad top-100 board coverage. Bust risk projects at 10%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #56 pre-draft; our board sat 50 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 4, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports