Draftanomics
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • 2028 way-too-early
  • Draft news
  • Simulator
  • The house mock
  • Draft order
  • Trade calculator
  • The Scouting Slate
  • Sleepers & reaches
  • Movers & fallers
  • Player comps
  • Dynasty rookie board
  • Track record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Analyst leaderboard
My rankingsAccount
Get the weekly →
Draftanomics

Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

Boards
  • 2027 board
  • Consensus board
  • Sleepers
Tools
  • Mock draft simulator
  • Plays Like
  • Dynasty rookie board
Track Record
  • Year-by-year results
  • Accountability Index
  • Our board, on the record
  • Past drafts, re-graded
  • Methodology
  • Developers · free API
  • About
Account
  • My board
  • Weekly email
Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2016 board/
  4. Compare

Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

2 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE)
KD
Kevin Dodd
EDGE · Clemson
23.8 yo · 6'5" · 277 lb
JW
Jonathan Woodard
EDGE · Central Arkansas
22.6 yo · — · —
Tiebreaker
Medium confidence
Take Jonathan Woodard over Kevin Dodd.

Decisive factor: a bust risk 39 points lower.

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kevin Dodd
Predicted pick
#117
range #37–#225
Bust probability
61%
Consensus rank
#36
on 18 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Jonathan Woodard
Predicted pick
#143
range #113–#273
Bust probability
22%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kevin Dodd· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Jonathan Woodard· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKevin Dodd50
  • AthleticismJonathan Woodard55
  • AgeJonathan Woodard81
  • ConsensusKevin Dodd21
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kevin Dodd50
  • Breakout ageKevin Dodd50
  • WorkloadKevin Dodd50
  • RAS × productionKevin Dodd100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kevin Dodd
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jonathan Woodard
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kevin Dodd
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jonathan Woodard
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kevin DoddJonathan Woodard· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kevin Dodd

+0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.04 charting total career snaps; −0.03 age

Jonathan Woodard

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps; +0.03 HS recruit rating