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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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  3. 2016 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2016 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
KL
Kolby Listenbee
WR · TCU
22.3 yo · 6'0" · 197 lb
DR
Demarcus Robinson
WR · Florida
21.6 yo · 6'1" · 203 lb
MT
Mike Thomas
WR · Southern Miss
21.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kolby Listenbee
Predicted pick
#221
range #80–#264
Bust probability
37%
Consensus rank
#73
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Demarcus Robinson
Predicted pick
#116
range #36–#224
Bust probability
9%
Consensus rank
#166
on 1 board
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Mike Thomas
Predicted pick
#148
range #45–#193
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
#125
on 2 boards
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$2Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kolby Listenbee· RB / WR / TE
  • Demarcus Robinson· RB / WR / TE
  • Mike Thomas· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKolby Listenbee0
  • AthleticismKolby Listenbee76
  • AgeDemarcus Robinson92
  • ConsensusKolby Listenbee27
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kolby Listenbee50
  • Breakout ageKolby Listenbee50
  • WorkloadKolby Listenbee100
  • RAS × productionKolby Listenbee0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kolby Listenbee
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Demarcus Robinson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Mike Thomas
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kolby Listenbee
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Demarcus Robinson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Mike Thomas
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kolby ListenbeeDemarcus RobinsonMike Thomas· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kolby Listenbee

−0.06 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; −0.04 Power-5 production share

Demarcus Robinson

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age

Mike Thomas

−0.05 charting total career snaps; −0.04 boards with him top-100; +0.03 age