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Draftanomics

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT, G)
JB
Jamon Brown
OT · Louisville
— · 6'4" · 323 lb
JP
Jeremiah Poutasi
G · Utah
— · 6'5" · 335 lb
RH
Rob Havenstein
OT · Wisconsin
— · 6'7" · 321 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jamon Brown
Predicted pick
#124
range #114–#134
Bust probability· rough estimate
43%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Jeremiah Poutasi
Predicted pick
#14
range #23–#149
Bust probability
7%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Rob Havenstein
Predicted pick
#153
range #143–#163
Bust probability· rough estimate
58%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$10Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jamon Brown· Offensive line
  • Jeremiah Poutasi· Offensive line
  • Rob Havenstein· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJamon Brown50
  • AthleticismJeremiah Poutasi50
  • AgeJeremiah Poutasi67
  • ConsensusJeremiah Poutasi88
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jamon Brown50
  • Breakout ageJamon Brown50
  • WorkloadJamon Brown50
  • RAS × productionJamon Brown37

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jamon Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jeremiah Poutasi
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rob Havenstein
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jamon Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jeremiah Poutasi
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rob Havenstein
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jamon BrownJeremiah PoutasiRob Havenstein· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jamon Brown

Draftanomics projects Jamon Brown as a mid-round flyer at #124 (range #114-#134, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 43% — real but not disqualifying. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #124 stands alone — and with bust risk at 43%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Jeremiah Poutasi

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Rob Havenstein

Draftanomics projects Rob Havenstein as a mid-round flyer at #153 (range #143-#163, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 58% — elevated. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #153 stands alone — and with bust risk at 58%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.