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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT, G)
CG
Chaz Green
OT · Florida
— · 6'5" · 314 lb
AC
A.J. Cann
G · South Carolina
— · 6'3" · 313 lb
TT
Tyrus Thompson
OT · Oklahoma
— · 6'5" · 324 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Chaz Green
Predicted pick
#82
range #82–#239
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
A.J. Cann
Predicted pick
#125
range #95–#255
Bust probability
14%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Tyrus Thompson
Predicted pick
#43
range #112–#209
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Chaz Green· Offensive line
  • A.J. Cann· Offensive line
  • Tyrus Thompson· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionChaz Green50
  • AthleticismChaz Green50
  • AgeTyrus Thompson68
  • ConsensusChaz Green50
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Chaz Green50
  • Breakout ageChaz Green50
  • WorkloadChaz Green50
  • RAS × productionChaz Green100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Chaz Green
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
A.J. Cann
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Tyrus Thompson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Chaz Green
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
A.J. Cann
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Tyrus Thompson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Chaz GreenA.J. CannTyrus Thompson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Chaz Green

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 scout consensus

A.J. Cann

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 scout consensus

Tyrus Thompson

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; +0.02 age