3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Marcus Peters (age 22.3 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #80 (range #70-#90, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #80 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Charles Gaines (age 22.6 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #143 (range #133-#153, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 16% — manageable. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #143 stands alone — and with bust risk at 16%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Steven Nelson (age 22.2 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #38 (range #24-#52, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #38 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.