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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
KB
Kenny Bell
WR · Nebraska
23.2 yo · 6'1" · 197 lb
RG
Rashad Greene
WR · Florida St.
22.6 yo · 5'11" · 182 lb
KM
Keith Mumphery
WR · Michigan St.
22.9 yo · 6'0" · 215 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kenny Bell
Predicted pick
#231
range #94–#246
Bust probability
47%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Rashad Greene
Predicted pick
#171
range #114–#264
Bust probability
44%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Keith Mumphery
Predicted pick
#248
range #111–#263
Bust probability
12%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kenny Bell· RB / WR / TE
  • Rashad Greene· RB / WR / TE
  • Keith Mumphery· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKenny Bell33
  • AthleticismRashad Greene68
  • AgeRashad Greene67
  • ConsensusKenny Bell52
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kenny Bell50
  • Breakout ageKenny Bell50
  • WorkloadKenny Bell100
  • RAS × productionKenny Bell91

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kenny Bell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Rashad Greene
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Keith Mumphery
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kenny Bell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Rashad Greene
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Keith Mumphery
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kenny BellRashad GreeneKeith Mumphery· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kenny Bell

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 age; −0.02 lowest board ranking

Rashad Greene

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Keith Mumphery

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 age