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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (S)
JT
Jaquiski Tartt
S · Samford
23.2 yo · 6'1" · 221 lb
IC
Ibraheim Campbell
S · Northwestern
22.9 yo · 5'11" · 208 lb
CG
Clayton Geathers
S · Central Florida
22.9 yo · 6'2" · 218 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jaquiski Tartt
Predicted pick
#169
range #152–#186
Bust probability· rough estimate
15%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$8Mmodel
Ibraheim Campbell
Predicted pick
#150
range #140–#160
Bust probability· rough estimate
13%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Clayton Geathers
Predicted pick
#217
range #134–#268
Bust probability· rough estimate
15%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jaquiski Tartt· CB / S
  • Ibraheim Campbell· CB / S
  • Clayton Geathers· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJaquiski Tartt50
  • AthleticismJaquiski Tartt42
  • AgeClayton Geathers41
  • ConsensusClayton Geathers66
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jaquiski Tartt50
  • Breakout ageJaquiski Tartt50
  • WorkloadJaquiski Tartt50
  • RAS × productionJaquiski Tartt100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jaquiski Tartt
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Ibraheim Campbell
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Clayton Geathers
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jaquiski Tartt
Risks
  • Older prospect
    Age 23.2 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Ibraheim Campbell
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Clayton Geathers
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jaquiski TarttIbraheim CampbellClayton Geathers· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jaquiski Tartt

Draftanomics projects Jaquiski Tartt (age 23.2 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #169 (range #152-#186, wide band). Bust probability sits at 15% — manageable. Age 23.2 at draft. Slightly older than the cohort median (~22.5); upside ceiling is trimmed. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #169 stands alone — and with bust risk at 15%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Ibraheim Campbell

Draftanomics projects Ibraheim Campbell (age 22.9 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #150 (range #140-#160, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 13% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #150 stands alone — and with bust risk at 13%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.

Clayton Geathers

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; −0.02 age