2 prospects · 2015 draft
Decisive factor: $11M/yr more in projected second-deal AAV.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Devin Funchess (age 20.9 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #47 (range #45-#49, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 5% — low. 40-yard dash of 4.70s — below-average separation speed for the position. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #47 stands alone — and with bust risk at 5%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Stefon Diggs (age 21.4 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #41 (range #39-#43, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #41 stands alone — and with bust risk at 6%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.