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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (CB)
CG
Charles Gaines
CB · Louisville
22.6 yo · 5'10" · 180 lb
MP
Marcus Peters
CB · Washington
22.3 yo · 6'0" · 197 lb
AC
Alex Carter
CB · Stanford
20.5 yo · 6'0" · 196 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Charles Gaines
Predicted pick
#143
range #113–#273
Bust probability· rough estimate
28%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Marcus Peters
Predicted pick
#80
range #80–#237
Bust probability· rough estimate
18%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$17Mmodel
Alex Carter
Predicted pick
#22
range #31–#157
Bust probability· rough estimate
9%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Charles Gaines· CB / S
  • Marcus Peters· CB / S
  • Alex Carter· CB / S
Axis leaders
  • ProductionCharles Gaines50
  • AthleticismCharles Gaines42
  • AgeAlex Carter98
  • ConsensusMarcus Peters59
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Charles Gaines50
  • Breakout ageCharles Gaines50
  • WorkloadCharles Gaines50
  • RAS × productionCharles Gaines100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Charles Gaines
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Marcus Peters
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Alex Carter
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Charles Gaines
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Marcus Peters
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Alex Carter
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Charles GainesMarcus PetersAlex Carter· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Charles Gaines

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; −0.02 scout consensus

Marcus Peters

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; +0.02 age

Alex Carter

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps