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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE, ILB, OLB)
GG
Geneo Grissom
EDGE · Oklahoma
22.9 yo · — · —
HP
Hayes Pullard
ILB · USC
23.0 yo · 6'0" · 240 lb
NB
Neiron Ball
OLB · Florida
22.7 yo · 6'2" · 236 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Geneo Grissom
Predicted pick
#202
range #119–#253
Bust probability
26%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Hayes Pullard
Predicted pick
#156
range #99–#249
Bust probability
21%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel
Neiron Ball
Predicted pick
#144
range #114–#274
Bust probability
21%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Geneo Grissom· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Hayes Pullard· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Neiron Ball· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionGeneo Grissom0
  • AthleticismGeneo Grissom42
  • AgeNeiron Ball85
  • ConsensusNeiron Ball39
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Geneo Grissom50
  • Breakout ageGeneo Grissom50
  • WorkloadGeneo Grissom50
  • RAS × productionGeneo Grissom100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Geneo Grissom
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Hayes Pullard
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Neiron Ball
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Geneo Grissom
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Hayes Pullard
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Neiron Ball
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Geneo GrissomHayes PullardNeiron Ball· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Geneo Grissom

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Hayes Pullard

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Neiron Ball

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 charting total career snaps