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Honest NFL Draft analytics. The model's receipts against actual NFL teams live on the track record.

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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (EDGE, DT)
PS
Preston Smith
EDGE · Mississippi St.
22.4 yo · — · —
CR
Christian Ringo
EDGE · Louisiana
23.1 yo · — · —
KS
Kristjan Sokoli
DT · Buffalo
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Preston Smith
Predicted pick
#164
range #107–#257
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$22Mmodel
Christian Ringo
Predicted pick
#238
range #101–#253
Bust probability
78%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Kristjan Sokoli
Predicted pick
#180
range #123–#273
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Preston Smith· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Christian Ringo· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Kristjan Sokoli· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionPreston Smith0
  • AthleticismPreston Smith42
  • AgePreston Smith97
  • ConsensusPreston Smith50
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Preston Smith50
  • Breakout agePreston Smith50
  • WorkloadPreston Smith50
  • RAS × productionPreston Smith100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Preston Smith
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Christian Ringo
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Kristjan Sokoli
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Preston Smith
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Christian Ringo
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Kristjan Sokoli
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Preston SmithChristian RingoKristjan Sokoli· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Preston Smith

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age

Christian Ringo

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 age; −0.02 lowest board ranking

Kristjan Sokoli

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age