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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
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  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (OT)
JR
Jake Rodgers
OT · Eastern Washington
— · — · —
DG
Denzelle Good
OT · Mars Hill
— · — · —
AD
Andrew Donnal
OT · Iowa
— · 6'6" · 313 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jake Rodgers
Predicted pick
#104
range #104–#261
Bust probability· rough estimate
7%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel
Denzelle Good
Predicted pick
#200
range #117–#251
Bust probability· rough estimate
15%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel
Andrew Donnal
Predicted pick
#90
range #90–#247
Bust probability· rough estimate
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$5Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jake Rodgers· Offensive line
  • Denzelle Good· Offensive line
  • Andrew Donnal· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJake Rodgers50
  • AthleticismJake Rodgers50
  • AgeAndrew Donnal79
  • ConsensusJake Rodgers58
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jake Rodgers50
  • Breakout ageJake Rodgers50
  • WorkloadJake Rodgers50
  • RAS × productionAndrew Donnal92

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jake Rodgers
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Denzelle Good
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Andrew Donnal
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jake Rodgers
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Denzelle Good
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Andrew Donnal
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jake RodgersDenzelle GoodAndrew Donnal· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jake Rodgers

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 charting total career snaps

Denzelle Good

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.03 HS recruit rating; −0.02 scout consensus

Andrew Donnal

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.02 age; −0.02 lowest board ranking