3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Kristjan Sokoli as a Day 3 dart throw at #180 (range #163-#197, wide band). Bust probability sits at 20% — manageable. No Combine drills or Pro Day numbers on file while most of the class has tested — the athletic part of the grade is unmeasured. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #180 stands alone — and with bust risk at 20%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Tyeler Davison (age 22.6 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #176 (range #166-#186, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. School SP+ rating -6.9 (well below FBS median of 0). College production may not translate against NFL-quality DBs/pass-rushers. Schedule rank #73 (1=hardest). The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #176 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Grady Jarrett (age 22.0 at draft) as a third-round / early Day 3 pick at #102 (range #92-#112, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #102 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.