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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (DT, EDGE, ILB)
KS
Kristjan Sokoli
DT · Buffalo
— · — · —
PS
Preston Smith
EDGE · Mississippi St.
22.4 yo · — · —
BM
Benardrick McKinney
ILB · Mississippi St.
22.4 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Kristjan Sokoli
Predicted pick
#180
range #123–#273
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Preston Smith
Predicted pick
#164
range #107–#257
Bust probability
16%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$22Mmodel
Benardrick McKinney
Predicted pick
#134
range #104–#264
Bust probability
27%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Kristjan Sokoli· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Preston Smith· EDGE / DL / LB
  • Benardrick McKinney· EDGE / DL / LB
Axis leaders
  • ProductionKristjan Sokoli0
  • AthleticismKristjan Sokoli42
  • AgeKristjan Sokoli97
  • ConsensusPreston Smith50
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Kristjan Sokoli50
  • Breakout ageKristjan Sokoli50
  • WorkloadKristjan Sokoli50
  • RAS × productionKristjan Sokoli100

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Kristjan Sokoli
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Preston Smith
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Benardrick McKinney
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Kristjan Sokoli
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Preston Smith
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Benardrick McKinney
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Kristjan SokoliPreston SmithBenardrick McKinney· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Kristjan Sokoli

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age

Preston Smith

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age

Benardrick McKinney

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.02 lowest board ranking; +0.02 age