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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (WR)
DW
Darren Waller
WR · Georgia Tech
22.6 yo · 6'6" · 238 lb
DF
Devin Funchess
WR · Michigan
20.9 yo · 6'4" · 232 lb
SD
Stefon Diggs
WR · Maryland
21.4 yo · 6'0" · 195 lb

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Darren Waller
Predicted pick
#151
range #94–#244
Bust probability
15%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Devin Funchess
Predicted pick
#47
range #116–#213
Bust probability
13%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$9Mmodel
Stefon Diggs
Predicted pick
#41
range #110–#207
Bust probability
24%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$19Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Darren Waller· RB / WR / TE
  • Devin Funchess· RB / WR / TE
  • Stefon Diggs· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionDevin Funchess33
  • AthleticismDarren Waller40
  • AgeStefon Diggs97
  • ConsensusStefon Diggs74
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Darren Waller50
  • Breakout ageDarren Waller50
  • WorkloadDarren Waller100
  • RAS × productionDarren Waller0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Darren Waller
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Devin Funchess
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Stefon Diggs
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Darren Waller
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Devin Funchess
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Stefon Diggs
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Darren WallerDevin FunchessStefon Diggs· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Darren Waller

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 Power-5 production share; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Devin Funchess

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 age

Stefon Diggs

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 age