2 prospects · 2015 draft
Decisive factor: 110-pick gap on Draftanomics projection.
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Tyrus Thompson as a Day 2 pick at #43 (range #33-#53, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 58% — elevated. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #43 stands alone — and with bust risk at 58%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Rob Havenstein as a mid-round flyer at #153 (range #143-#163, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 58% — elevated. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #153 stands alone — and with bust risk at 58%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.