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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
  2. Prospects/
  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (G)
JH
Jarvis Harrison
G · Texas A&M
— · 6'4" · 330 lb
MG
Mark Glowinski
G · West Virginia
— · 6'4" · 307 lb
TB
Trent Brown
G · Florida
— · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Jarvis Harrison
Predicted pick
#56
range #125–#222
Bust probability
4%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Mark Glowinski
Predicted pick
#1
range #4–#52
Bust probability
4%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$12Mmodel
Trent Brown
Predicted pick
#28
range #37–#163
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$14Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Jarvis Harrison· Offensive line
  • Mark Glowinski· Offensive line
  • Trent Brown· Offensive line
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJarvis Harrison50
  • AthleticismMark Glowinski86
  • AgeMark Glowinski100
  • ConsensusMark Glowinski100
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Jarvis Harrison50
  • Breakout ageJarvis Harrison50
  • WorkloadJarvis Harrison50
  • RAS × productionJarvis Harrison37

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Jarvis Harrison
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Mark Glowinski
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Trent Brown
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Jarvis Harrison
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Mark Glowinski
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Trent Brown
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Jarvis HarrisonMark GlowinskiTrent Brown· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Jarvis Harrison

−0.06 boards with him top-100; +0.02 charting total career snaps; +0.02 age

Mark Glowinski

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 charting total career snaps; +0.03 strength of schedule

Trent Brown

−0.05 boards with him top-100; +0.03 HS recruit rating; +0.02 charting total career snaps