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Data + sources
RAS by Kent Lee Platte·Consensus Big Board (Arif Hasan)·nflverse·PFR·CFBD·All sources & credits·Methodology
Career-value model, live
Privacy·Terms·Press ⌘K to search·Draftanomics2026
  1. Draftanomics/
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  3. 2015 board/
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Side-by-side comparison

Backtest

3 prospects · 2015 draft

Each spoke: percentile within the prospect's own position (RB)
JA
Javorius Allen
RB · USC
23.7 yo · 6'0" · 221 lb
JL
Jeremy Langford
RB · Michigan St.
23.4 yo · 6'0" · 208 lb
JR
Josh Robinson
RB · Mississippi St.
22.7 yo · — · —

Headline metrics

The four numbers a GM checks first.

Javorius Allen
Predicted pick
#172
range #115–#265
Bust probability
10%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$7Mmodel
Jeremy Langford
Predicted pick
#187
range #104–#238
Bust probability
6%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$6Mmodel
Josh Robinson
Predicted pick
#245
range #108–#260
Bust probability
69%
Consensus rank
—
no boards yet
Career arc
arrives after the combineThe forecast needs his measurables first.
2nd-deal AAV
$4Mmodel

Feature radar

Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.

ProductionAthleticismAgeConsensusPer-play impact (PPA)Breakout ageWorkloadRAS × production
Prospects
  • Javorius Allen· RB / WR / TE
  • Jeremy Langford· RB / WR / TE
  • Josh Robinson· RB / WR / TE
Axis leaders
  • ProductionJavorius Allen33
  • AthleticismJavorius Allen40
  • AgeJosh Robinson83
  • ConsensusJavorius Allen74
  • Per-play impact (PPA)Javorius Allen50
  • Breakout ageJavorius Allen50
  • WorkloadJavorius Allen100
  • RAS × productionJavorius Allen0

Comp overlap

Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.

No shared comps in the top five. Each prospect has a distinct historical profile.
Javorius Allen
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Jeremy Langford
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.
Josh Robinson
  • comps arrive after the combineBefore the combine there isn't enough measured data to match him confidently against past players. Comparisons draw on recent NFL careers (2021–2024) and fill in once combine numbers and game-by-game stats land.

Risk and opportunity flags

Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.

Javorius Allen
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Jeremy Langford
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.
Josh Robinson
Risks
No major risks flagged.
Opportunities
No standout upside flags.

Career trajectory forecast

Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.

0%25%50%75%100%Y1Y2Y3Y4Snap share
Javorius AllenJeremy LangfordJosh Robinson· solid = actuals, dashed = forecast

Verdict

The model's plain-English read.

Javorius Allen

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.04 age; +0.03 charting total career snaps

Jeremy Langford

−0.06 boards with him top-100; −0.04 age; +0.02 HS recruit rating

Josh Robinson

−0.05 boards with him top-100; −0.03 production trajectory; −0.02 HS recruit rating