3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Clayton Geathers (age 22.9 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #217 (range #207-#227, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 6% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #217 stands alone — and with bust risk at 6%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects James Sample (age 22.8 at draft) as a Day 3 dart throw at #233 (range #223-#243, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 20% — manageable. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #233 stands alone — and with bust risk at 20%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Ibraheim Campbell (age 22.9 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #150 (range #140-#160, moderate band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #150 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.