3 prospects · 2015 draft
The four numbers a GM checks first.
Each axis is the prospect's percentile among prospects at his position (0–100). Bigger shape = stronger across the board.
Top five historical comps per prospect. Shared comps highlighted.
Top three concerns and top two upside signals from the model.
Projected share of his team's snaps across the first four NFL seasons. Solid = seasons already played, dashed = the forecast.
The model's plain-English read.
Draftanomics projects Kevin White (age 22.8 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #145 (range #143-#147, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 77% — scary. Drafted #7 by CHI in 2015 but recorded ZERO regular-season NFL snaps. Year-1 absence is one of the strongest single-signal bust predictors we have. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #145 stands alone — and with bust risk at 77%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Tre McBride (age 22.4 at draft) as a Day 2 pick at #58 (range #41-#75, wide band). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #58 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.
Draftanomics projects Phillip Dorsett (age 22.3 at draft) as a mid-round flyer at #154 (range #152-#156, tight projection). Bust probability sits at 0% — low. The call is a hold: no public board ranks him, so the model's #154 stands alone — and with bust risk at 0%, let the room catch up before paying a premium.