On the live board, bust risk sits at 16% and the realistic range is No. 125 to No. 275.
The model graded Garrett Dellinger at pick #182; he was actually picked #243 by BAL.
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics had Garrett Dellinger at #182 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and BAL took him at No. 243. Bust risk projects at 16%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 6, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Historical players this prospect resembles
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports
Too early to project a career arc.
No public board has ranked this prospect and the model has no production, athletic, or NFL data to anchor on — any percentages here would be noise dressed up as precision. The outlook fills in once boards rank him or real numbers land.
No public-board coverage yet.
Highlight reels indexed from YouTube. Loads only when you press play.
The grade is held down by how many boards rank him top-100, hS recruit rating, and scout consensus.
The grade is the 0-to-1 score the board sorts by — it only means something next to the rest of this class, which is why the rank above it is the number to quote.
Not enough to go on yet — no public board ranks him and there's no production or testing data to anchor a career projection.
Everything that could go wrong with Garrett Dellinger, gathered in one place — the most serious flags listed first.
Named, concrete signals — every flag cites numbers, comp players, or schedule context.
Based on each team's roster depth at Offensive line, age, and recent capital invested.