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Print-ready scout sheet
J.J. McCarthy
QB · Michigan · age 21.3 · 6'3" · 219 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#11
1st Round
Bust probability
11%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#10
MIN
Consensus rank
#22
29 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Pre-draft consensus | +7.13 |
| production shape | +0.80 |
| Completion percentage over expected | +0.76 |
| ppa avg | +0.57 |
| Year-over-year production growth | +0.42 |
| board consistency | +0.40 |
| single game concentration | -0.33 |
| ppa consistency | +0.33 |
| School / program strength | +0.31 |
| rb carry load | +0.28 |
Pre-draft consensus (31 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#9
105 3 The Fan (Bryan Broaddus)#30
Akron Beacon Journal (Chris Easterling)#25
Bleacher Report#32
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#48
Bnb Football#22
Bucs Report (J T Olson)#26
Drafttek#11
Haas Football (Hunter Haas)#26
Last Word On Sports (Mike Kashuba)#9
NFL Draft Lounge (Brian Lamb)#18
Pewter Report (Joshua Queipo)#24
Primetime Sports Talk (Colton Edwards)#32
Pro Football Focus#24
Pro Football Focus (Anthony Treash)#9
Prospectencyclopedia (Roy Countryman)#9
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
1
Games played
10
Avg snap share
5%
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | 2021 · #1 | 14.4 | Franchise |
| Justin Fields | 2021 · #11 | 11.3 | Starter |
| Drew Lock | 2019 · #42 | 7.1 | Contributor |
| Zach Wilson | 2021 · #2 | 9.3 | Starter |
| Joe Burrow | 2020 · #1 | 12.5 | Franchise |