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Print-ready scout sheet
Caleb Williams
QB · USC · age 22.4 · 6'1" · 214 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#8
1st Round
Bust probability
16%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#1
CHI
Consensus rank
#6
29 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Pre-draft consensus | +8.93 |
| production shape | +0.74 |
| Age-adjusted production | +0.45 |
| ppa consistency | +0.34 |
| ppa avg | +0.30 |
| Rank within his position class | +0.30 |
| rb carry load | +0.28 |
| durability | +0.25 |
| Conference strength of opponent | +0.24 |
| Completion percentage over expected | +0.23 |
Pre-draft consensus (31 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#1
105 3 The Fan (Bryan Broaddus)#1
Akron Beacon Journal (Chris Easterling)#1
Bleacher Report#4
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#6
Bnb Football#1
Bucs Report (J T Olson)#1
Drafttek#1
Haas Football (Hunter Haas)#3
Last Word On Sports (Mike Kashuba)#1
NFL Draft Lounge (Brian Lamb)#2
Pewter Report (Joshua Queipo)#4
Primetime Sports Talk (Colton Edwards)#10
Pro Football Focus#101
Pro Football Focus (Anthony Treash)#1
Prospectencyclopedia (Roy Countryman)#1
Active flags & events
- Caleb Williams listed as questionable for Week 12 with a hamstring strain. Tracking for full re-eval Thursday.Adam Schefter · 2026-05-19
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
2
Games played
19
Avg snap share
53%
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Wilson | 2021 · #2 | 9.3 | Starter |
| Dwayne Haskins | 2019 · #15 | 7.0 | Contributor |
| Sam Howell | 2022 · #144 | 2.4 | Contributor |
| Kyle Trask | 2021 · #64 | — | Bust |
| Malik Willis | 2022 · #86 | 4.3 | Bust |