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Brian Thomas

WR · LSU · age 21.6 · 6'3" · 209 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#18
1st Round
Bust probability
0%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#23
JAX
Consensus rank
#21
28 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Pre-draft consensus+6.39
Rank within his position class+1.40
Athletic testing+0.97
production shape+0.80
Year-over-year production growth+0.75
Predicted-points-added vs FBS+0.68
College production+0.58
RAS × production+0.52
ppa avg+0.47
board consistency+0.40

Pre-draft consensus (30 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#24
105 3 The Fan (Bryan Broaddus)#16
Akron Beacon Journal (Chris Easterling)#15
Bleacher Report#17
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#26
Bnb Football#12
Bucs Report (J T Olson)#24
Drafttek#22
Haas Football (Hunter Haas)#19
Last Word On Sports (Mike Kashuba)#20
NFL Draft Lounge (Brian Lamb)#22
Pewter Report (Joshua Queipo)#35
Primetime Sports Talk (Colton Edwards)#67
Pro Football Focus#21
Pro Football Focus (Anthony Treash)#37
Prospectencyclopedia (Roy Countryman)#16

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
2
Games played
15
Avg snap share
38%

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Hakeem Butler2019 · #103Bust
Justin Jefferson2020 · #2216.6Franchise
CeeDee Lamb2020 · #1715.4Franchise
Marquise Brown2019 · #2514.6Starter
Henry Ruggs III2020 · #1210.9Contributor
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.