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C.J. Stroud

QB · Ohio St. · age 21.6 · 6'3" · 214 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#11
1st Round
Bust probability
22%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#2
HOU
Consensus rank
#3
29 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Boards ranking him top-100+0.08
Pre-draft consensus+0.07
Boards ranking him top-50+0.07
charting deep avg depth of target-0.02
Number of public boards+0.02
High-school recruit grade+0.02
ppa vs p5 share-0.02
cons min rank+0.02

Pre-draft consensus (31 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#5
Acme Packing Company (Tyler D Brooke)#4
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#6
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#2
CBS (Josh Edwards)#4
Draft Countdown (Shane Hallam)#2
Draftplex (Jason Pruett)#2
Drafttek#3
ESPN (Jeff Legwold)#7
Fantasy Points (Brett Whitefield)#8
Fantasy Pros (Andrew Erickson)#5
Fantasy Pros (Matthew Jones)#4
Fantasy Pros (Thor Nystrom)#2
Nbc Sports (Connor Rogers)#8
NFL Com (Daniel Jeremiah)#7
Ninety Nine Yards (Owain Jones)#6

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
3
Games played
16
Avg snap share
66%
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.