← Back to prospect
Print-ready scout sheet
Trey Lance
QB · North Dakota St. · age 21.0 · 6'3" · 224 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#16
1st Round
Bust probability
28%
Moderate
Actual NFL pick
#3
SFO
Consensus rank
#12
27 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Boards ranking him top-100 | +0.09 |
| Pre-draft consensus | +0.08 |
| Athletic testing | +0.04 |
| High-school recruit grade | +0.03 |
| Boards ranking him top-50 | +0.02 |
| Number of public boards | +0.02 |
| Age at draft | +0.01 |
| charting total career snaps | +0.01 |
Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#9
Action Network (Matthew Freedman)#8
Behind The Steel Curtain#16
Bleacher Report#6
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#14
Blue Chip Scouting (Nick Price)#7
CBS (Chip Patterson)#29
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#9
College Football News (Pete Fiutak)#7
Draft Ace (Ryan Mccrystal)#30
Draftplex (Jason Pruett)#19
Drafttek#10
Eds Football (Kevin Hanson)#11
Fantasy Six Pack (Selyan Lonqueux)#11
Fox Sports (Joel Klatt)#10
Nbc Sports (Thor Nystrom)#6
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
4
Games played
4
Avg snap share
8%
2nd-deal AAV
$2.0M