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Mac Jones

QB · Alabama · age 22.6 · 6'2" · 217 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#56
Day 2
Bust probability
9%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#15
NWE
Consensus rank
#27
28 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Boards ranking him top-100+0.10
charting pass grade max+0.04
Boards ranking him top-50+0.04
Year-over-year production growth-0.04
ppa vs p5 share-0.03
Number of public boards+0.02
charting yards after contact per att-0.02
charting qb ttt-0.02

Pre-draft consensus (30 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#15
Action Network (Matthew Freedman)#12
Behind The Steel Curtain#19
Bleacher Report#34
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#47
Blue Chip Scouting (Nick Price)#88
CBS (Chip Patterson)#9
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#40
College Football News (Pete Fiutak)#22
Draft Ace (Ryan Mccrystal)#35
Draftplex (Jason Pruett)#25
Drafttek#15
Eds Football (Kevin Hanson)#32
Fantasy Six Pack (Selyan Lonqueux)#38
Fox Sports (Joel Klatt)#24
Nbc Sports (Thor Nystrom)#25

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
5
Games played
12
Avg snap share
54%
2nd-deal AAV
$3.5M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
Baker Mayfield2018 · #113.4Franchise
Lamar Jackson2018 · #3215.1Franchise
Mason Rudolph2018 · #76Contributor
Mitchell Trubisky2017 · #212.9Bust
Kyler Murray2019 · #117.4Starter
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.