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Print-ready scout sheet

Ja'Marr Chase

WR · LSU · age 21.2 · 6'0" · 201 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#4
Blue Chip
Bust probability
9%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#5
CIN
Consensus rank
#4
28 sources

Why this projection

+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
Boards ranking him top-100+0.11
Pre-draft consensus+0.09
charting: deep-route grade, final season-0.04
charting: yards per route run from the slot, best season+0.03
charting elusive+0.03
Athletic testing+0.03
Boards ranking him top-50+0.03
High-school recruit grade+0.03

Pre-draft consensus (30 sources)

ESPN Scouts Inc.#3
Action Network (Matthew Freedman)#6
Behind The Steel Curtain#5
Bleacher Report#10
Bleeding Green Nation (Ben Natan)#6
Blue Chip Scouting (Nick Price)#11
CBS (Chip Patterson)#4
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#5
College Football News (Pete Fiutak)#8
Draft Ace (Ryan Mccrystal)#10
Draftplex (Jason Pruett)#3
Drafttek#3
Eds Football (Kevin Hanson)#4
Fantasy Six Pack (Selyan Lonqueux)#4
Fox Sports (Joel Klatt)#3
Nbc Sports (Thor Nystrom)#5

NFL outcomes (so far)

Seasons
5
Games played
16
Avg snap share
72%
2nd-deal AAV
$40.3M

Closest historical comps

PlayerDraftYear 1 grade (of 20)Arc
D.J. Moore2018 · #2415.4Franchise
D.K. Metcalf2019 · #6417.2Franchise
Courtland Sutton2018 · #4015.6Franchise
A.J. Brown2019 · #5116.4Franchise
Antonio Callaway2018 · #10515.4Contributor
Draftanomics · NFL draft intelligenceProjections from Draftanomics's career-value model. Defensible at every line.