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Print-ready scout sheet
Jake Luton
QB · Oregon St. · age 24.0
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 6, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#235
Day 3
Bust probability
48%
Moderate
Actual NFL pick
#189
JAX
Consensus rank
—
0 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Age at draft | -0.07 |
| Boards ranking him top-100 | -0.04 |
| charting blitz btt rate career avg | +0.04 |
| charting pass grade max | +0.03 |
| charting gap run block grade | -0.02 |
| Pre-draft consensus | -0.02 |
| charting short yards per route run | +0.02 |
| charting yards after contact per att | -0.02 |
Pre-draft consensus (1 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#204
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
1
Avg snap share
17%
2nd-deal AAV
$0.2M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Falk | 2018 · #199 | 1.7 | Bust |
| Logan Woodside | 2018 · #249 | — | Bust |
| Mike White | 2018 · #171 | — | Backup |
| Garrett Grayson | 2015 · #75 | — | TBD |
| Brandon Doughty | 2016 · #223 | — | TBD |