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2019 NFL Draft prospect
Stephen Denmark
age 23.0
On the live board, bust risk sits at 35% and the realistic range is No. 89 to No. 241.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Stephen Denmark at pick #226; he was actually picked #238 by CHI. Model predicted $5M/yr; actual $1M (over by $5M).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#226CB·Valdosta St.
We had him No. 226 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — CHI took him at No. 238. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Stephen Denmark at #226 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and CHI took him at No. 238. Bust risk projects at 35%, near the position baseline.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports