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2019 NFL Draft prospect
John Cominsky
age 23.4
On the live board, bust risk sits at 22% and the realistic range is No. 50 to No. 238.
rank#130$1.1M
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded John Cominsky at pick #130; he was actually picked #135 by ATL. 5 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 5.7 of 20 per season), and the market has paid him — a second deal at $4.3M a year. The 4-tier model has him as a likely role. NFL grades have been modest so far (1% recent-3, 7% peak across 5 seasons).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#130EDGE·Charleston (WV)
We had him No. 130 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — ATL took him at No. 135. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had John Cominsky at #130 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and ATL took him at No. 135. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 22%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #91 pre-draft; our board sat 39 spots lower.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production5
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports