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Print-ready scout sheet
Kyler Murray
QB · Oklahoma · age 21.7 · 5'10" · 207 lb
Draftanomics scout sheet
Board model
Generated August 5, 2026
Draftanomics pick
#14
1st Round
Bust probability
8%
Low risk
Actual NFL pick
#1
ARI
Consensus rank
#17
27 sources
Why this projection
+1.0 ≈ pushed pick ~25 spots earlier; −1.0 ≈ ~25 spots later
| Boards ranking him top-100 | +0.09 |
| Pre-draft consensus | +0.05 |
| Boards ranking him top-50 | +0.04 |
| Number of public boards | +0.04 |
| Rank within his position class | +0.03 |
| Year-over-year production growth | -0.03 |
| High-school recruit grade | -0.03 |
| SOS-weighted production | +0.02 |
Pre-draft consensus (29 sources)
ESPN Scouts Inc.#9
Addicted To Quack (Joseph Yun)#21
Armchair Media Network (Rob Paul)#12
Bleacher Report (Matt Miller)#13
Bnb Football#15
Buffalo Rumblings (Dan Lavoie)#3
CBS (Chris Trapasso)#23
Da Windy City (Ryan Heckman)#11
Drafttek#4
Draftwire (Luke Easterling)#6
ESPN (Jeff Legwold)#20
Mile High Report (Christopher Hart)#13
Nbc Sports Washington (Ben Standig)#8
NFL Draft Blitz (Alex Khvatov)#31
NFL Draft Lounge (Garrett Ballard)#25
NFL Spin Zone (Cory Kinnan)#18
NFL outcomes (so far)
Seasons
7
Games played
5
Avg snap share
68%
2nd-deal AAV
$46.1M
Closest historical comps
| Player | Draft | Year 1 grade (of 20) | Arc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Trubisky | 2017 · #2 | 12.9 | Bust |
| Nathan Peterman | 2017 · #171 | 7.0 | Bust |
| Kevin Hogan | 2016 · #162 | 9.2 | Starter |
| Deshaun Watson | 2017 · #12 | 15.8 | Bust |
| Chad Kelly | 2017 · #253 | — | TBD |