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2018 NFL Draft prospect
Brandon Parker
6'8" · 305 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 8% and the realistic range is No. 45 to No. 222.
rank#101$1.3M
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Brandon Parker at pick #101; he was actually picked #65 by OAK. 5 NFL seasons in, he's carved out a genuine role (grading 7.6 of 20 per season), and the market has paid him — a second deal at $3.5M a year. The 4-tier model has him as a likely role. NFL grades have been modest so far (0% recent-3, 5% peak across 5 seasons). The AAV predictor called it: model said $5M/yr, actual was $4M.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#101OT·North Carolina A&T
The league moved faster than our board — OAK took him at No. 65, 36 picks ahead of our No. 101 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Brandon Parker at #101 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and OAK took him at No. 65, 36 picks earlier than our grade. The model's case leans on his age curve and his recruiting pedigree. Bust risk projects at 8%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #128 pre-draft; our board was 27 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production5
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk0
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports