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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Will Redmond
age 22.3
On the live board, bust risk sits at 45% and the realistic range is No. 91 to No. 246.
rank#247
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Will Redmond at pick #247; he was actually picked #68 by SFO.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#247CB·Mississippi St.
The league moved faster than our board — SFO took him at No. 68, 179 picks ahead of our No. 247 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Will Redmond at #247 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and SFO took him at No. 68, 179 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 45%, elevated against the position baseline. The room had him #106 pre-draft; our board sat 141 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 7, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Draftanomics Pick?
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports