Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
Jacoby Brissett
age 23.4
On the live board, bust risk sits at 34% and the realistic range is No. 95 to No. 250.
rank#251
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Jacoby Brissett at pick #251; he was actually picked #91 by NWE. 2 NFL seasons in, he's carved out a genuine role (grading 10.4 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $24M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#251QB·North Carolina St.
The league moved faster than our board — NWE took him at No. 91, 160 picks ahead of our No. 251 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Jacoby Brissett at #251 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and NWE took him at No. 91, 160 picks earlier than our grade. The model's case leans on his age curve. Bust risk projects at 34%, near the position baseline. The room had him #84 pre-draft; our board sat 167 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 7, and it updates whenever the model does. See for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk5
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports