Refreshed just now
Big 12→ DAL's 2016 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Rico Gathers at pick #69; he was actually picked #217 by DAL.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#69TE·Baylor
We had him No. 69 on draft night; DAL didn't call his name until No. 217 — a 148-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Rico Gathers at #69 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and DAL took him at No. 217, 148 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 26%, near the position baseline.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports