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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Isaac Seumalo
6'4" · 303 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 3% and the realistic range is No. 10 to No. 187.
rank#66$1.6M
Pac-12→ PHI's 2016 class
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Isaac Seumalo at pick #66; he was actually picked #79 by PHI. Model expects a second-deal AAV around $10M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#66G·Oregon St.
We had him No. 66 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — PHI took him at No. 79. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Isaac Seumalo at #66 on draft night — a Day 2 grade — and PHI took him at No. 79. Bust risk projects at 3%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #112 pre-draft; our board was 46 spots higher.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 3, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Draftanomics Pick?
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports