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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Riley Dixon
age 22.7 · 6'4" · 221 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 32% and the realistic range is No. 104 to No. 264.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Riley Dixon at pick #134; he was actually picked #228 by DEN. 2 NFL seasons in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 0.8 of 20 per season). So far, the league's caution is winning the argument.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#134P·Syracuse
We had him No. 134 on draft night; DEN didn't call his name until No. 228 — a 94-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports