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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Drew Kaser
age 23.2 · 6'2" · 212 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 31% and the realistic range is No. 111 to No. 261.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Drew Kaser at pick #168; he was actually picked #179 by SDG. 2 NFL seasons in, he's barely gotten on the field (grading 0.8 of 20 per season), and the second-contract question is still open — no new deal yet.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#168P·Texas A&M
We had him No. 168 on draft night, and the league mostly agreed — SDG took him at No. 179. The seasons since are the scoreboard.
Draftanomics's take
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports