Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
Keith Marshall
age 22.2 · 5'11" · 219 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 85% and the realistic range is No. 111 to No. 271.
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Keith Marshall at pick #141; he was actually picked #242 by WAS.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Medium conviction#141RB·Georgia
We had him No. 141 on draft night; WAS didn't call his name until No. 242 — a 101-pick gap between our board and the league's. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Keith Marshall at #141 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and WAS took him at No. 242, 101 picks later than our grade. Bust risk projects at 85% — well above the position median; the model is flagging this as a high-variance pick.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk3
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports