Refreshed just now
2016 NFL Draft prospect
Nate Sudfeld
age 22.6 · 6'6" · 234 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 31% and the realistic range is No. 106 to No. 258.
Big Ten→ WAS's 2016 class
Limited public-board coverage (0 boards) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Nate Sudfeld at pick #243; he was actually picked #187 by WAS. 1 NFL season in, he's carved out a genuine role (grading 10.0 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $5M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Speculative#243QB·Indiana
The league moved faster than our board — WAS took him at No. 187, 56 picks ahead of our No. 243 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports