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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Deon Bush
age 22.7 · 6'0" · 199 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 4% and the realistic range is No. 73 to No. 228.
rank#229
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Deon Bush at pick #229; he was actually picked #124 by CHI. 2 NFL seasons in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 4.1 of 20 per season).
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
Low conviction#229S·Miami (FL)
The league moved faster than our board — CHI took him at No. 124, 105 picks ahead of our No. 229 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Deon Bush at #229 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and CHI took him at No. 124, 105 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 4%, below the position median — the model has a tight grade. The room had him #113 pre-draft; our board sat 116 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 7, and it updates whenever the model does. See methodology for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk1
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports