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2016 NFL Draft prospect
Tavon Young
age 22.1 · 5'9" · 183 lb
On the live board, bust risk sits at 25% and the realistic range is No. 39 to No. 236.
rank#152$1.1M
American Athletic→ BAL's 2016 class
Limited public-board coverage (1 board) — grade leans on stats + athleticism alone
Backtest: model vs. reality
The model graded Tavon Young at pick #152; he was actually picked #104 by BAL. 1 NFL season in, he's hung on the fringe of the rotation (grading 5.2 of 20 per season). Model expects a second-deal AAV around $9M/yr.
Overview
Headline grade, verdict, and the one-line scout take
Draftanomics Rank
High conviction#152CB·Temple
The league moved faster than our board — BAL took him at No. 104, 48 picks ahead of our No. 152 grade. His career is settling that argument now.
Draftanomics's take
Draftanomics had Tavon Young at #152 on draft night — a Day 3 grade — and BAL took him at No. 104, 48 picks earlier than our grade. Bust risk projects at 25%, near the position baseline. The room had him #116 pre-draft; our board sat 36 spots lower.
Written from the live model's numbers — projected to round 5, and it updates whenever the model does. See for what drives the take.
Scouting report
The written report — drafted from the fact sheet, every number traceable, honest about what we can't see yet
Why this grade
Which signals drove the grade up or down — in plain English
Consensus
The analyst room, accuracy-weighted, plus where Draftanomics disagrees with it
Production
Measurables, traits, and college play quality
Risk2
Bust probability, injury history, character flags, pre-mortem
Team fit5
How well this prospect fits each of the 32 team schemes
Will he be there?
Probability he's still on the board at each of your picks
Comps0
Historical players this prospect resembles
Film & notes
Clips, scout notes, voice memos, written reports